Does the logic fit the facts?
Supposing
a nation has mineral reserves that are more expensive to extract than
they are elsewhere around the world. Unless supply of that mineral is
outpaced by demand and its price rises enough to include the greater
cost of extraction, this nation is condemned to leave its resources
underground and import the cheaper products from other nations, which
will weigh on its balance of payments. Though demand for that mineral
is growing, supply is abundant and could literally flood the market.
So the aforementioned nation’s logical strategy is to reduce world
supply by all means at its disposal.
Conventional
oil production in North America peaked four decades ago, but
extraction from the vast fields of shale oil could not compete with
the light sweet oil that was being pumped up around the Persian Gulf
and in the Libyan Desert. In 1980, Saddam Hussein attacked Iran.
Iranian infrastructures were damaged and the country has been
subjected to various embargoes ever since. In 1990, Saddam Hussein
occupied Kuwait. The result was Desert Storm and wrecked
infrastructures in both Kuwait and Iraq, the latter being wrecked
again in 2003. Finally, in 2011, Libya was bombed, a dictator was
executed and replaced by various armed militia, and oil production
almost stopped. The price of a barrel soared after 2003 and has
stabilised around the $100 mark. Mission accomplished!
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