Ponzi capitalism
As
unpaid added value needs credit to mediate its exchange on the
market, what happens if credit stagnates or contracts? The answer is
that when credit stops growing so does the mediated surplus value,
and when it shrinks so must surplus value. However, the sharing of
surplus value between rent, interest and dividends can be modified.
With falling rent and zero interest, corporate profits can continue
to grow moderately, making shares the best investment on offer. But
soaring share prices (helped by company buy-backs) then reduce the
fractional returns of dividends until they join the dismally low
returns on real estate and bonds. At which point new capital has
nowhere to go, old capital no longer brings a return and incomes
promised by pension funds are not forthcoming.
When
the traditional returns on investments (rent, interest and dividends)
are insignificant, speculation on the value of investments becomes
the main source of capital incomes. It is the buying and selling of
investments, not the investments themselves, that generate income.
Casino capitalism, with nanosecond transactions by programmed
computers, merely redistributes existing wealth by feeding on itself.
The demands of accumulated capital are greater than the declining
credit mediated surplus value, so it compensates by transforming
capital into revenue, which is like a Ponzi scheme and is bound to
fail. Governments everywhere are sitting on top of volcanos ready to
erupt. Are they oblivious, or are they too scared to tell?
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